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RESEARCH ARTICLE |
1 University of Iowa and Iowa City Veterans Administration Medical Center.
2 Indiana University and Regenstrief Institute, Inc., Indianapolis.
3 University of Florida and Gainesville Veterans Administration Medical Center.
4 Saint Louis University, Missouri.
5 Washington University in St. Louis, Missouri.
Address correspondence to Fredric D. Wolinsky, College of Public Health, University of Iowa, E-205 General Hospital, 200 Hawkins Dr., Iowa City, IA 52242. E-mail: fredric-wolinsky{at}uiowa.edu
Objectives. The objectives of this work were to determine the prevalence of self-reported subclinical status for functional limitation and disability at baseline and assess their independent effects on the onset of functional limitation and disability 12 years later.
Methods. Nine hundred ninety-eight African American men and women 4965 years old in St. Louis, MO, received comprehensive in-home evaluations at baseline and two annual telephone follow-ups. Outcome measures included walking a half-mile, climbing steps, stoopingcrouchingkneeling, lifting or carrying 10 lbs., and doing heavy housework.
Results. The baseline prevalence of subclinical status was 26.4% for walking a half-mile, 26.8% for climbing steps, 39.0% for stoopingcrouchingkneeling, 29.1% for lifting or carrying 10 lbs., and 22.7% for doing heavy housework. The adjusted odds ratios for the task-specific subclinical status measure at baseline on developing difficulty 12 years later were 1.68 (p <.05) for walking a half-mile, 4.46 (p <.001) for climbing steps, 2.48 (p <.001) for stoopingcrouchingkneeling, 2.51 (p <.001) for lifting or carrying 10 lbs., and 2.22 (p <.001) for doing heavy housework. Performance tests (tandem stand, chair stands, and preferred gait speed) did not have consistent independent effects on the onset of functional limitation or disability.
Conclusions. The subclinical status measures were the main predictors of the onset of difficulty in all tasks and functions 12 years later. Interventions to reduce frailty should focus on self-reported subclinical status as an early warning system.
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